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There are an infinite number of ways the S&P 500 could have any given Average Annual Return (“AAR”) over a ten year period of time. For example, the S&P 500 could have the following hypothetical returns over a ten year period:

The Fed has spent much of the last year and half raising interest rates in an effort to tame inflation. Essentially, the plan is to slow the economy sufficiently to bring the inflation rate back to the Fed’s 2% target rate.